Housing Less Affordable in Rural Areas of the UK

13/09/2008

Housing is less affordable in rural areas, according to new research by Halifax Estate Agents.

                       

Not for broadcast or publication before 00:01 Hrs Saturday 13th September 2008

This is the fourth annual HalifaxRural Housing Review.  The Review covers 123 Local Authorities in Great Britain which are defined as rural areas, according to ONS classifications.  The Review uses Halifax house price data to calculate rural house price movements. Separate reviews covering Scotland and Wales are also available.

Housing Less affordable in Rural areas 

Key findings of the research by Halifax Estate Agents shows that:

  • The average level of house prices in rural areas is £235,324, 15% higher than the average urban house price of £204,290[1]
  • The most expensive rural local authority (LA) in Great Britain is Chiltern in Buckinghamshire with an average house price of £448,635.  All ten of the most expensive rural LA's are in southern England
  • The three most expensive rural LAs - Chiltern, Waverley and Tandridge - also have the best quality of life among rural areas
  • Pendle in the North West is the least expensive rural LA with an average house price of £129,887 followed by the Western Isles (£137,319) and Copeland (£138,111)
  • The average property price in rural areas is 7.3 times average annual earnings compared with a ratio of 6.1 in urban areas
  • Seven of the ten least affordable rural local authorities are in the South West. North Devon is the least affordable with an average house price (£252,792) that is 9.1 times local annual average earnings (£27,853)
  • Copeland in the North West is the most affordable rural area with an average house price: earnings ratio of 3.9 followed by Bassetlaw in the East Midlands (4.5) and Pendle (4.5)
  • First time buyers account for just 21% of all rural buyers compared with 37% in urban areas
  • 13% of the housing stock is social housing in rural areas compared with 20% in urban areas

 

Suren Thiru, economist at Halifax, said:

"Housing in rural areas is less affordable than in urban areas due to a combination of higher average prices and lower average earnings. The difficulties for home buyers in rural locations are particularly acute among first time buyers and are exacerbated by relatively low levels of social housing provision."

KEY FINDINGS

House Prices

Rural house prices are 15% higher than in urban areas
The latest annual Halifax Rural Housing Review shows that the average house price across rural Great Britain is 15% more expensive than the average house price in urban areas. House prices in rural areas currently average £235,324, £31,034 higher than the average urban house price of £204,290.

Eight of the ten most expensive rural LA's are in the South East (Table 1)
The most expensive rural local authority (LA) in Great Britain is Chiltern in Buckinghamshire with an average house price of £448,635. Waverley in Surrey (£396,605) and Tandridge in Surrey (£367,016) are the second and third most expensive rural areas. Eight of the ten most expensive rural LA's are in the South East; the exceptions are Uttlesford (£313,896) and East Hertfordshire (£309,832) in the East of England. All ten of the most expensive rural LA's are in southern England.2

The most expensive rural LA's are also the top ranked rural local authorities by quality of life (Table 1)
Chiltern, Waverley and Tandridge, the three most expensive rural LA's, also have the best quality of life among rural LA's3. Residents of Chiltern - the most expensive rural LA - has the best quality of life amongst rural LA's with the healthiest and best paid residents. In addition, the majority of householders in Chiltern are owner-occupiers (80%) and the houses are larger than average (6.3 rooms).All ten of the top ranked LA's by Quality of Life as well as the ten most expensive rural LA's are in southern England2.

Bridgnorth is the most expensive rural LA outside southern England2   (Table 2)
Bridgnorth in the West Midlands has the highest average price of any rural local authority outside southern England, at £268,579. South Northamptonshire (£257,986) and Derbyshire Dales (£255,455) are the next most expensive rural areas outside the south.

Pendle is the least expensive rural LA in Britain (Table 3)
The North West local authority of Pendle is the least expensive rural LA in Britain with an average house price of £129,887. Western Isles in Scotland (£137,319) and Copeland (£138,111) are the second and third least expensive rural areas in Great Britain. Just two Waveney and East Lindsey - out of the ten least expensive rural LA's feature in the top hundred rural LA's by quality of life.

Housing Affordability
House prices in rural areas are more than seven times average annual earnings (Table 4)

As a result of higher house prices and lower average earnings, property in rural areas is generally less affordable than in urban areas. The average property price in rural areas is 7.3 times average annual earnings compared with a ratio of 6.1 in urban areas.

Seven of the ten least affordable rural local authorities are in the South West (Table 4)

North Devon in the South West is the least affordable local authority in Great Britain with an average house price (£252,792) that is 9.1 times local annual average earnings (£27,853). The next least affordable rural districts are East Devon and Kerrier in Cornwall, at 8.7, and North Norfolk and Penwith where average house prices are 8.4 times average earnings. Seven of the ten least affordable rural areas are in the South West.

Copeland is the most affordable rural LA in Britain (Table 5)

Six out of the ten most affordable rural LA's are in the East Midlands. With an average house price that is 3.9 times local average annual earnings, Copeland in the North West is the most affordable rural area followed by Bassetlaw in the East Midlands (4.5) and Pendle in the North West (4.5).

2 Includes Greater London, South East, South West and the East of England

3 Based on the Halifax Estate Agents 'Rural' Areas Quality of Life Survey.


First Time Buyers

First time buyers in rural areas account for 21% of all buyers (Table 6)

There are far fewer first-time buyers (FTBs) in rural areas with FTBs accounting for just 21% of all buyers compared with 37% in urban local authorities. The average house price paid by an FTB in rural areas (£150,767) is, however, 7% lower than the average urban house price for FTBs (£162,570).

South Hams has the smallest proportion of FTBs (Table 6)

South Hams in the South West is the rural LA with the lowest proportion of FTBs (7%) followed by Bridgnorth (10%) and South Northamptonshire (13%). At the other end of the spectrum, East Cambridgeshire in the East of England and Pendle have the highest proportion of FTBs (both 43%).

Social Housing

Social Housing in rural England is significantly lower than in urban areas (Table 7)

13% of the rural housing stock in England is social housing compared with 20% in urban areas. Kennet in Wiltshire and Wear Valley have the highest levels of social housing (21% in both). In contrast, Wealden in East Sussex has the lowest proportion of social housing (7%) of any rural area.

Ends.

Editors' Notes

House prices used in the research are arithmetic annual average prices of houses otherwise known as crude averages - on which an offer of mortgages has been granted.  These prices are not standardised and therefore can be affected by changes in the sample from year to year.The data covers the period 2003 to 2008 and has been extracted from the Halifax House Price database.

This analysis was undertaken using the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Urban Rural classification. This classification defines an area as a Rural Area if it lies in a town or village of less than 10,000, or as an urban area if it lies in a town or city of 10,000 or more. A rural local authority is one where the majority of people live in rural areas.

Data on average earnings is based on ONS figures for April 2007, which have been inflated by national average earnings growth to calculate 2008 estimates at local authority level.

The affordability ratio is calculated as average house price divided by the average annual earnings of full time employed male.

The rural Quality of Life rankings are based on the Halifax Estate Agents Rural Areas Quality of Life Survey (5th May 2008). It tracks where living standards are highest in Great Britain's rural local authorities. By ranking local performance across key indicators of the labour market, the housing market, the environment, education and health. The index examines data at local authority (LA) level. 123 rural local authorities have been identified and analysed. An area is defined as Rural if it lies in a town or village of less than 10,000. A rural local authority is one where the majority of people live in rural areas. Data has been gathered from sources including the ONS, DEFRA, the Met Office, the Department for Transport and the Halifax house price database.

Table 1: Ten most expensive Rural Local Authorities in Great Britain, 2008

 

Local Authority

Region

House Prices in 2003 (£)*

House Prices in 2008 (£)*

5 year % Change

Rural quality of life ranking

Chiltern

South East

326,660

448,635

37%

1

Waverley

South East

278,668

396,605

42%

2

Tandridge

South East

277,706

367,016

32%

3

South Oxfordshire

South East

289,234

333,031

15%

23

Uttlesford

East of England

258,395

313,896

21%

8

East Hertfordshire

East of England

245,583

309,832

26%

7

Wealden

South East

230,297

308,862

34%

39

East Hampshire

South East

244,129

296,600

21%

21

Test Valley

South East

199,634

295,590

48%

16

Mid Sussex

South East

237,347

292,628

23%

11

Rural Great Britain

 

171,952

235,324

37%

  

* 12 months to June

Sources: ONS, Halifax House Price Database, Halifax estimates

Table 2: Ten most expensive Rural Local Authorities in Great Britain outside Southern England, 2008

 

Local Authority

Region

House Prices in 2003(£s)*

House Prices in 2008(£s)*

5 year % Change

Rural quality of life ranking

Bridgnorth

West Midlands

181,329

268,579

48%

51

South Northamptonshire

East Midlands

191,292

257,986

35%

24

Derbyshire Dales

East Midlands

190,561

255,455

34%

80

Castle Morpeth

North East

183,022

253,041

38%

49

Harborough

East Midlands

187,104

249,516

33%

22

Tynedale

North East

157,826

237,137

50%

70

North Shropshire

West Midlands

156,631

229,693

47%

78

Wychavon

West Midlands

180,550

229,081

27%

35

Hambleton

Yorkshire and the Humber

168,255

224,706

34%

43

Monmouthshire

Wales

160,185

223,793

40%

59

Rural Great Britain

 

171,952

235,324

37%

 

* 12 months to June

Sources: ONS, Halifax House Price Database, Halifax estimates

Table 3: Ten least expensive Rural Local Authorities in Great Britain, 2008

 

Local Authority

Region

House Prices in 2003(£s)*

House Prices in 2008(£s)*

5 year % Change

Rural quality of life ranking

Pendle

North West

72,154

129,887

80%

123

Western Isles

Scotland

50,507

137,319

172%

104

Copeland

North West

73,725

138,111

87%

116

North Lincolnshire

Yorkshire and The Humber

86,026

138,306

61%

102

East Ayrshire

Scotland

59,794

138,724

132%

122

Dumfries and Galloway

Scotland

83,464

149,936

80%

101

Wear Valley

North East

77,250

149,944

94%

121

Bassetlaw

East Midlands

104,237

151,809

46%

105

Waveney

East of England

115,852

154,610

33%

75

East Lindsey

East Midlands

103,484

155,647

50%

85

Rural Great Britain

 

171,952

235,324

37%

 

* 12 months to June

Sources: ONS, Halifax House Price Database, Halifax estimates

Table 4: Ten Least Affordable Rural Local Authorities in Great Britain, 2008

 

Local Authority

Region

House Prices 2008*

**Average Earnings  2008

Price to Earnings Ratio

£

£

North Devon

South West

252,792

27,853

9.1

East Devon

South West

248,959

28,564

8.7

Kerrier

South West

209,043

24,044

8.7

North Norfolk

East of England

203,744

24,238

8.4

Penwith

South West

214,933

25,722

8.4

Teignbridge

South West

227,111

27,261

8.3

North Cornwall

South West

216,607

26,157

8.3

Chiltern

South East

448,635

54,442

8.2

South Somerset

South West

220,671

26,944

8.2

Forest Heath

East of England

203,606

25,453

8.0

Rural Great Britain

 

235,324

32,189

7.3

                * 12 months to June

               **Based on ONS average earnings figures for April 2007, which have been inflated by national average earnings                        growth to calculate 2008 estimates at local authority level.  Earnings figures relate to the average for full-time male employees.

                Sources: ONS, Halifax House Price Database, Halifax estimates 

Table 5: Ten Most Affordable Rural Local Authorities in Great Britain, 2008

 

Local Authority

Region

House Prices 2008*

**Average Earnings  2008

Price to Earnings Ratio

£

£

Copeland

North West

  138,111

     35,290

3.9

Bassetlaw

East Midlands

  151,809

     33,735

4.5

Pendle

North West

  129,887

     28,810

4.5

North Lincolnshire

Yorkshire and The Humber

  138,306

     30,157

4.6

East Ayrshire

Scotland

  138,724

     30,051

4.6

Newark and Sherwood

East Midlands

  175,541

     36,583

4.8

Rushcliffe

East Midlands

  207,187

     41,937

4.9

North West Leicestershire

East Midlands

  174,782

     35,000

5.0

South Kesteven

East Midlands

  192,206

     38,302

5.0

East Northamptonshire

East Midlands

  177,432

     34,139

5.2

Rural Great Britain

 

235,324

     32,189

7.3

                *12 months to June.

               ** Based on ONS average earnings figures for April 2007, which have been inflated by national average earnings                             growth to calculate 2008 estimates at local authority level.  Earnings figures relate to the average for full-time male employees.

                Sources: ONS, Halifax House Price Database, Halifax estimates

               

Table 6: 10 Rural Local Authorities - lowest % of First Time Buyers (FTBs), Great Britain

         

Local Authority

Region

% Housing Market

House Prices  2008 (£)*

FTB Share

South Hams

South West

7%

264,982

Bridgnorth

West Midlands

10%

268,579

South Northamptonshire

East Midlands

13%

257,986

Cotswold

South West

14%

284,746

North Devon

South West

14%

252,792

Maldon

East of England

14%

257,127

Rother

South East

15%

242,528

East Dorset

South West

16%

284,193

Uttlesford

East of England

17%

313,896

Tynedale

North East

17%

237,137

Rural Great Britain

 

21%

235,324

                                  *12 months to June.

                                Source: Halifax House Price Database


Table 7: Ten Rural Local Authorities with the Most Social Housing, Great Britain 2007

 

Local Authority

Region

Social Housing as % of All Housing Stock, 2007

House Prices in 2008 £s*

East Ayrshire

Scotland

25%

138,724

Kennet

South West

21%

262,785

Copeland

North West

20%

138,111

Wear Valley

North East

19%

149,944

Allerdale

North West

19%

158,185

East Lothian

Scotland

19%

202,924

St. Edmundsbury

East of England

17%

223,900

Taunton Deane

South West

17%

211,288

Tonbridge and Malling

South East

17%

291,396

Forest Heath

East of England

17%

203,606

Rural Great Britain

 

13%

235,324

                             * 12 months to June

                             Source: Halifax House Price Database

"This report is prepared from information that we believe is collated with care, however, it is only intended to highlight issues and it is not intended to be comprehensive.   We reserve the right to vary our methodology and to edit or discontinue/withdraw this, or any other report.  Any use of this report for an individual's own or third party commercial purposes is done entirely at the risk of the person making such use and solely the responsibility of the person or persons making such reliance.  © HBOS plc all rights reserved 2008."



[1] Figures refer to the arithmetic average of house prices and have not been standardised.

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